Z47
August 6, 2021

Founders vs Markets

The eternal question that all VCs struggle with: should one invest in an excellent entrepreneur in a weak or unclear market versus in a strong market with a Founder that one is not as excited about? Please don’t expect some super insightful answer

smiley

, but our blog would be incomplete without something on this topic so here is my tweetstorm from last year capturing my thoughts on this topic which (I believe) still hold true today:

1/ Founders or Markets?! On the eternal VC debate on backing great Founders or deep markets if one had to pick only one

2/ We at Matrix are unabashedly Founder backers - Founders First and Founders Last! Even if we get that call wrong – the intent is clear!

3/ IMO if one calls the market right and Founder wrong – a lot has to go right and fall into place to create a large outcome

4/ And there's always the better Founder chasing the same market soon enough! And likely wins! Examples all over history where 2nd mover won

5/ For the other way around – IMO best Founders create new markets if they get the first crack at it wrong. Apple didn't invent the phone!

6/ Think the largest market cap Founder–led tech companies for an answer! Google didn't invent search and Facebook didn't social networking

7/ Also, personally, I find it more stimulating and inspiring to work with excellent Founders who push & challenge one's thinking

8/ As opposed to a "consultant-type" (respectfully!) approach of building companies ground up to capture markets

smiley

- as some investors do

9/ Yet some of the best known VCs and VC firms are vociferously market backers! And have the returns to boot! Wonder what am missing...

To put the above in context, given that each Founder brings different strengths to the table and no one is perfect, at Matrix we think more about FPM (Founder–Product–Market) or FBM (Founder–Business–Market) fit (borrowed from the Product–Market– Fit concept). A couple of questions we ask ourselves are:

  • Is it a “thin stack” business? Often in such instances, if the product hits PMF, it gives one a clear shot at victory without building a very large organization and other complexity – e.g. WhatsApp would fall in this category, as would, one could argue, Facebook and Google
  • Is it a “full stack” business? As it suggests, one needs to build a number of pieces of the business for it to work – e.g. most marketplaces fall in this category especially those with deep integrations on the backend

It takes different archetypes depending on the above distinctions in our view – though honestly, there are enough counter examples to make this a very loose principle at best.

And so when in doubt, we have to go back to Rule #1 – back the best (Founders) and forget about the rest (Market)!

#foundersfirst

For more information, write to us: namaste@Z47.com.
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Founders vs Markets

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The eternal question that all VCs struggle with: should one invest in an excellent entrepreneur in a weak or unclear market versus in a strong market with a Founder that one is not as excited about? Please don’t expect some super insightful answer

smiley

, but our blog would be incomplete without something on this topic so here is my tweetstorm from last year capturing my thoughts on this topic which (I believe) still hold true today:

1/ Founders or Markets?! On the eternal VC debate on backing great Founders or deep markets if one had to pick only one

2/ We at Matrix are unabashedly Founder backers - Founders First and Founders Last! Even if we get that call wrong – the intent is clear!

3/ IMO if one calls the market right and Founder wrong – a lot has to go right and fall into place to create a large outcome

4/ And there's always the better Founder chasing the same market soon enough! And likely wins! Examples all over history where 2nd mover won

5/ For the other way around – IMO best Founders create new markets if they get the first crack at it wrong. Apple didn't invent the phone!

6/ Think the largest market cap Founder–led tech companies for an answer! Google didn't invent search and Facebook didn't social networking

7/ Also, personally, I find it more stimulating and inspiring to work with excellent Founders who push & challenge one's thinking

8/ As opposed to a "consultant-type" (respectfully!) approach of building companies ground up to capture markets

smiley

- as some investors do

9/ Yet some of the best known VCs and VC firms are vociferously market backers! And have the returns to boot! Wonder what am missing...

To put the above in context, given that each Founder brings different strengths to the table and no one is perfect, at Matrix we think more about FPM (Founder–Product–Market) or FBM (Founder–Business–Market) fit (borrowed from the Product–Market– Fit concept). A couple of questions we ask ourselves are:

  • Is it a “thin stack” business? Often in such instances, if the product hits PMF, it gives one a clear shot at victory without building a very large organization and other complexity – e.g. WhatsApp would fall in this category, as would, one could argue, Facebook and Google
  • Is it a “full stack” business? As it suggests, one needs to build a number of pieces of the business for it to work – e.g. most marketplaces fall in this category especially those with deep integrations on the backend

It takes different archetypes depending on the above distinctions in our view – though honestly, there are enough counter examples to make this a very loose principle at best.

And so when in doubt, we have to go back to Rule #1 – back the best (Founders) and forget about the rest (Market)!

#foundersfirst

We are excited about the innovation and growth opportunities in this sector.

If you are considering building in the footwear space, we’d love to chat.
Drop us a line at consumer@matrixpartners.in

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Z47^fortyseven is up +23.9% since its January 2024 base date, versus Nifty 500's +18.4%, ahead by 550 bps.

The cohort moved +4.7% over the month versus Nifty 500's +2.5%, leading by 220 bps.

Anchored in domestic demand and rising digital adoption, the cohort remained resilient amid global headwinds.

Consumer Tech was the best-performing sector at +9.2% last month, driven by sustained growth in consumer demand and strength in consumer-internet platforms.

Largest Constituents  ·  The Names That Anchor The Index

1.
Eternal
Quick-commerce leadership and continued investment
▲ +12.8%
2.
Groww
Broking market-share gains and margin-funding growth.
▲ +10.4%
3.
Lenskart
Store densification and margin expansion.
▲ +2.4%

Top Gainers  ·  Key Drivers

1 MONTH RETURN
1.
CarTrade
Auto-marketplace dominance and a cash-rich balance sheet.
▲ +59.4%
2.
 Amagi Media Labs
Profitability turnaround and AI-led cloud media adoption.
▲ +31.4%

Top Laggards  ·  Key Drivers

1 MONTH RETURN
1.
Fractal Analytics
Enterprise AI spending trends and post-listing share supply.
▼ -10.8%
2.
MedPlus Health
Pharmacy-margin pressure and competitive intensity.
▼ -6.6%

Key Themes  ·  Latest Results

In Q4FY26, Z47^fortyseven's cohort grew top line ~39% YoY, more than 3x the broad market's ~12% growth.

Operating leverage lifted net margins around 500 bps into positive territory, even as broad-market net margins remained roughly flat.

With 40 of 47 companies now profitable, the cohort reflects a broader shift toward profitable growth over growth at any cost.

AI adoption runs deeper across this cohort than in the broader market, with companies using it to drive growth and reshape demand, not just improve efficiency.

Cash generation is increasingly defining the winners, enabling market leaders like Eternal, CarTrade, and PB Fintech to fund acquisitions and expansion from their own balance sheets.

Market & Macro Context

The cohort saw several block deals this month, including sizeable stake sales in Lenskart, Delhivery, Honasa, and Shadowfax.

Ownership continues to shift from foreign investors to domestic institutions, creating a more durable shareholder base.

AI remained the defining technology investment theme, driving capital deployment across both private and public markets.

IPO Takeaway · Kissht

Listed May 2026

A modest listing pop followed by strong post-listing gains reinforced the market's preference for asset quality and disciplined underwriting over pure loan-book growth.

The listing helped reset perceptions around unsecured lending, creating a constructive valuation anchor for the issuers that follow.

The buyer mix was a notable positive — strong participation from long-only domestic institutions supporting a durable post-listing ownership base.

Net Read

Fundamentals continued to strengthen across the cohort, with growth, margins, and cash generation improving in tandem.

Performance dispersion widened, with profitability and earnings quality increasingly distinguishing the strongest performers from the rest.

Disclaimer

Z47^fortyseven is published for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or any offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. Index performance is historical and should not be construed as indicative of future results.

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