Consumer
May 9, 2025
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Where to play: Strategic Revenue Choices for Consumer Brands

Welcome to the second part of our Consumer Unicorn Blueprint series. In part 1, we introduced a framework to reframe the consumer business P&L as strategic questions instead of dry financial metrics.

In part 2, we examine the first slice of this framework: revenue, or, as we like to call it, "Where to Play."

If you've spent more than five minutes on LinkedIn, you've seen those charts:

“India's GDP per capita climbing from $2.5K to $4K!”
“Population pyramids transforming! Millions entering the middle class by 2047!”

The opportunity is obvious — but the strategic choices around "where to play" are anything but. In our Consumer Blueprint framework, we're pushing beyond "how much money are you making?" to ask the questions that matter:

  • Who are you truly building for? 
  • Is your market deep or shallow-but-growing-faster-than-your-burn-rate?
  • Are you creating markets or capturing share?

Let's answer these questions, armed with insights from founders like Revant Bhate (Mosaic Wellness), Abhiraj Singh Bhal (Urban Company), Varun Alagh (Mamaeath) and Avnish Bajaj (Z47).


Who Are You Building For? The Targeting Trilemma

Conventional wisdom says start with one sharp target group — the sharper, the better. This isn't because of resource constraints; it's because your value proposition likely needs to be uniquely tailored to succeed.

When identifying your audience, three distinct approaches emerge:

1. Category Penetration

This is the art of unlocking new price points for the middle class. It requires reimagining manufacturing (affordable smartphones), supply chains (Jio's telecom disruption), or distribution (Meesho's reseller network).

The burning question: Can products like laptops, refrigerators, and washing machines become as ubiquitous in Indian homes as opinions about cricket? What would that take?

2. Premiumization

For those targeting the "I have disposable income and I'm not afraid to dispose of it" segments. This strategy offers additional value (both real and perceived) that nudges consumers up the price ladder.

Side note: Alcohol brands excel at premiumization tactics. Their positioning architecture often has little to do with what's actually in the bottle and everything to do with launch history and market dynamics. They make for fascinating case studies in brand architecture.

3. Innovation

These typically begin with affluent consumers capturing surplus value, but extraordinary founders sometimes innovate "Bharat backwards" as well, creating entirely new categories or consumption patterns.

TAM Deep? Or Shallow-But-Growing-Fast?

Beyond theoretical frameworks and consultant-speak, market data reveals where opportunity actually hides:

This chart shows per capita consumption multiples across categories in Brazil and China compared to India. The differences aren't just interesting data points — they're treasure maps to future consumer behavior.

Two standout opportunity clusters emerge:

  1. Discretionary spending categories with multiples far above the "overall" line — leisure, hotels, durables. These explode when people graduate from "needs" to "wants" spending. Remember when eating out was a special occasion? Soon it'll be every Tuesday.

  2. Already large TAMs getting supersized — housing and healthcare expand dramatically with GDP growth, but with better long-term prospects.

Categories below the "overall" line present opportunities for premiumization (branded vs unbranded) and penetration plays (particularly in FMCG).

Market Creation vs. Market Share: The Founder's Existential Crisis

Perhaps the most soul-searching question is whether you're creating a market or capturing share. Our panel's exchange revealed fascinating perspectives:

Wondering how India’s top founders actually think through a P&L? Watch our latest podcast.

Takeaways

Revenue strategy isn't just about growth targets, it's about making deliberate choices on where to compete and how to win.. It's about making deliberate choices on where to compete and how to win. Whether you're making products affordable for the masses, premium for the classes, or entirely new for the visionaries, these decisions fundamentally shape everything downstream.

In our next article, we'll explore the second component of our Blueprint: Gross Margins, or as we've reframed it, "What to Build vs. What to Buy" those value chain decisions that determine whether you're Zara or yet another fashion brand wondering why your inventory never moves.

Stay tuned as we continue unpacking how to build consumer unicorns in a market where potential is everywhere, but clarity is the true competitive advantage.

For more information, write to us: namaste@Z47.com.
Stay connected with Z47.

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Where to play: Strategic Revenue Choices for Consumer Brands

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Welcome to the second part of our Consumer Unicorn Blueprint series. In part 1, we introduced a framework to reframe the consumer business P&L as strategic questions instead of dry financial metrics.

In part 2, we examine the first slice of this framework: revenue, or, as we like to call it, "Where to Play."

If you've spent more than five minutes on LinkedIn, you've seen those charts:

“India's GDP per capita climbing from $2.5K to $4K!”
“Population pyramids transforming! Millions entering the middle class by 2047!”

The opportunity is obvious — but the strategic choices around "where to play" are anything but. In our Consumer Blueprint framework, we're pushing beyond "how much money are you making?" to ask the questions that matter:

  • Who are you truly building for? 
  • Is your market deep or shallow-but-growing-faster-than-your-burn-rate?
  • Are you creating markets or capturing share?

Let's answer these questions, armed with insights from founders like Revant Bhate (Mosaic Wellness), Abhiraj Singh Bhal (Urban Company), Varun Alagh (Mamaeath) and Avnish Bajaj (Z47).


Who Are You Building For? The Targeting Trilemma

Conventional wisdom says start with one sharp target group — the sharper, the better. This isn't because of resource constraints; it's because your value proposition likely needs to be uniquely tailored to succeed.

When identifying your audience, three distinct approaches emerge:

1. Category Penetration

This is the art of unlocking new price points for the middle class. It requires reimagining manufacturing (affordable smartphones), supply chains (Jio's telecom disruption), or distribution (Meesho's reseller network).

The burning question: Can products like laptops, refrigerators, and washing machines become as ubiquitous in Indian homes as opinions about cricket? What would that take?

2. Premiumization

For those targeting the "I have disposable income and I'm not afraid to dispose of it" segments. This strategy offers additional value (both real and perceived) that nudges consumers up the price ladder.

Side note: Alcohol brands excel at premiumization tactics. Their positioning architecture often has little to do with what's actually in the bottle and everything to do with launch history and market dynamics. They make for fascinating case studies in brand architecture.

3. Innovation

These typically begin with affluent consumers capturing surplus value, but extraordinary founders sometimes innovate "Bharat backwards" as well, creating entirely new categories or consumption patterns.

TAM Deep? Or Shallow-But-Growing-Fast?

Beyond theoretical frameworks and consultant-speak, market data reveals where opportunity actually hides:

This chart shows per capita consumption multiples across categories in Brazil and China compared to India. The differences aren't just interesting data points — they're treasure maps to future consumer behavior.

Two standout opportunity clusters emerge:

  1. Discretionary spending categories with multiples far above the "overall" line — leisure, hotels, durables. These explode when people graduate from "needs" to "wants" spending. Remember when eating out was a special occasion? Soon it'll be every Tuesday.

  2. Already large TAMs getting supersized — housing and healthcare expand dramatically with GDP growth, but with better long-term prospects.

Categories below the "overall" line present opportunities for premiumization (branded vs unbranded) and penetration plays (particularly in FMCG).

Market Creation vs. Market Share: The Founder's Existential Crisis

Perhaps the most soul-searching question is whether you're creating a market or capturing share. Our panel's exchange revealed fascinating perspectives:

Wondering how India’s top founders actually think through a P&L? Watch our latest podcast.

Takeaways

Revenue strategy isn't just about growth targets, it's about making deliberate choices on where to compete and how to win.. It's about making deliberate choices on where to compete and how to win. Whether you're making products affordable for the masses, premium for the classes, or entirely new for the visionaries, these decisions fundamentally shape everything downstream.

In our next article, we'll explore the second component of our Blueprint: Gross Margins, or as we've reframed it, "What to Build vs. What to Buy" those value chain decisions that determine whether you're Zara or yet another fashion brand wondering why your inventory never moves.

Stay tuned as we continue unpacking how to build consumer unicorns in a market where potential is everywhere, but clarity is the true competitive advantage.

We are excited about the innovation and growth opportunities in this sector.

If you are considering building in the footwear space, we’d love to chat.
Drop us a line at consumer@matrixpartners.in

Learnt something new? Follow us!

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Since Jan 2024
USD/INR
₹95.19
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Daily change • 1 Ju1 2025
128.1
▲ +28.1%
Since Jan 2024
NIFTY 500
129.1
▲ +19.0%
Since Jan 2024

Index Performance

+28.1%
Since Jan 2024
NIFTY 500
+19.0%
Since Jan 2024

Z47^fortyseven is up +23.9% since its January 2024 base date, versus Nifty 500's +18.4%, ahead by 550 bps.

The cohort moved +4.7% over the month versus Nifty 500's +2.5%, leading by 220 bps.

Anchored in domestic demand and rising digital adoption, the cohort remained resilient amid global headwinds.

Consumer Tech was the best-performing sector at +9.2% last month, driven by sustained growth in consumer demand and strength in consumer-internet platforms.

Largest Constituents  ·  The Names That Anchor The Index

1.
Eternal
Quick-commerce leadership and continued investment
▲ +12.8%
2.
Groww
Broking market-share gains and margin-funding growth.
▲ +10.4%
3.
Lenskart
Store densification and margin expansion.
▲ +2.4%

Top Gainers  ·  Key Drivers

1 MONTH RETURN
1.
CarTrade
Auto-marketplace dominance and a cash-rich balance sheet.
▲ +59.4%
2.
 Amagi Media Labs
Profitability turnaround and AI-led cloud media adoption.
▲ +31.4%

Top Laggards  ·  Key Drivers

1 MONTH RETURN
1.
Fractal Analytics
Enterprise AI spending trends and post-listing share supply.
▼ -10.8%
2.
MedPlus Health
Pharmacy-margin pressure and competitive intensity.
▼ -6.6%

Key Themes  ·  Latest Results

In Q4FY26, Z47^fortyseven's cohort grew top line ~39% YoY, more than 3x the broad market's ~12% growth.

Operating leverage lifted net margins around 500 bps into positive territory, even as broad-market net margins remained roughly flat.

With 40 of 47 companies now profitable, the cohort reflects a broader shift toward profitable growth over growth at any cost.

AI adoption runs deeper across this cohort than in the broader market, with companies using it to drive growth and reshape demand, not just improve efficiency.

Cash generation is increasingly defining the winners, enabling market leaders like Eternal, CarTrade, and PB Fintech to fund acquisitions and expansion from their own balance sheets.

Market & Macro Context

The cohort saw several block deals this month, including sizeable stake sales in Lenskart, Delhivery, Honasa, and Shadowfax.

Ownership continues to shift from foreign investors to domestic institutions, creating a more durable shareholder base.

AI remained the defining technology investment theme, driving capital deployment across both private and public markets.

IPO Takeaway · Kissht

Listed May 2026

A modest listing pop followed by strong post-listing gains reinforced the market's preference for asset quality and disciplined underwriting over pure loan-book growth.

The listing helped reset perceptions around unsecured lending, creating a constructive valuation anchor for the issuers that follow.

The buyer mix was a notable positive — strong participation from long-only domestic institutions supporting a durable post-listing ownership base.

Net Read

Fundamentals continued to strengthen across the cohort, with growth, margins, and cash generation improving in tandem.

Performance dispersion widened, with profitability and earnings quality increasingly distinguishing the strongest performers from the rest.

Disclaimer

Z47^fortyseven is published for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or any offer, solicitation, or recommendation to buy or sell securities. Index performance is historical and should not be construed as indicative of future results.

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